Barleywine
Final Note
This is much more statistically credible than it was, thanks to excellent input from Etene. The spread template attached to the original post has been updated accordingly. The upshot of the changes is that:
The incremental positive and negative adjustments are much smaller than they were for each two-card comparison in order to keep a statistically significant number of answers within the 0-to-100 range.
There is a stricter descending order of importance to the offsetting values
There is additional negative reinforcement to counter the excessive positive bias of the Elemental Dignity system (positives have also been proportionally reined in)
I've added a "Best Case/Worst Case Analysis" table that shows the bounding scenarios for maximum up-and-down adjustment, independent of the statistical fine-tuning
I've added a list of the trump card elemental correspondences
Most of the readings with this spread should stay within the 25% - 75% range with a legitimate number of definite "Yes" or "No" answers occurring beyond those limits
As the title says, it's "not so simple," but it does take the "yes-or-no" decision out of the guesswork arena and at least get it within striking distance of SWAG territory.
This is much more statistically credible than it was, thanks to excellent input from Etene. The spread template attached to the original post has been updated accordingly. The upshot of the changes is that:
The incremental positive and negative adjustments are much smaller than they were for each two-card comparison in order to keep a statistically significant number of answers within the 0-to-100 range.
There is a stricter descending order of importance to the offsetting values
There is additional negative reinforcement to counter the excessive positive bias of the Elemental Dignity system (positives have also been proportionally reined in)
I've added a "Best Case/Worst Case Analysis" table that shows the bounding scenarios for maximum up-and-down adjustment, independent of the statistical fine-tuning
I've added a list of the trump card elemental correspondences
Most of the readings with this spread should stay within the 25% - 75% range with a legitimate number of definite "Yes" or "No" answers occurring beyond those limits
As the title says, it's "not so simple," but it does take the "yes-or-no" decision out of the guesswork arena and at least get it within striking distance of SWAG territory.